“Yes she can”: Can Kamala Harris defeat Donald Trump in election?

Democratic presidential contender Kamala Harris is nearing the end of her step-by-step campaign against Donald Trump. A smart politician, she cultivates ambiguity. Will she inspire voters like Barack Obama?

Remote Hudson Valley hillside two and a half hours from NYC. The same Trump-supporting family lives in most of the residences. All bar one, who admitted to voting for Obama. In July, he lamented, “I hate Donald Trump, but I can’t vote for that old fart Joe Biden.” After the president dropped out on July 21 in favor of his vice-president Kamala Harris, the tone altered in mid-August: “What a nice surprise! I’m ready to hear her, but I’ll vote for Harris to replace the other one.” Silence. “I won’t tell my wife. She adores Trump, would murder me.” After that, the Democratic convention in Chicago from August 19 to 22 inaugurated its new champion triumphantly.

Trump would achieve his worst nightmare by choosing a black woman president if he loses on November 5. We’ve covered Kamala Harris’ meteoric climb, resume, internet memes, and explosive laugh for a month. Without Trump, Harris probably wouldn’t have been the Democratic Party’s candidate. Without her warning, unpopular Biden would not have quit.

Despite the attacks on Donald Trump, Joe Biden’s retirement, and Kamala Harris’s rise, the genuine 2024 presidential election campaign begins on ABC’s 10 September debate.

Polls show a dead race between the candidates after Republicans and Democrats unite at their conventions around the prosecutor turned vice-president and the tycoon turned president. In both occasions, conservatives of various shades and liberals, moderate and progressive, believed party unity was needed. Republican anti-Trumpists have become MAGAS, and Clintonians have emulated progressives by chanting “Yes she can,” Barack Obama’s catchphrase in feminine form.

However, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump know that the conventions have tied voter expectations but not won the elections on 5 November. As in 2020, mobilizing both electorates and getting more than 70 million voters in each scenario to register and vote is crucial. Democrats marched to reject Trumpism and Republicans voted in masse to counter ultra-progressive riots. Joe Biden, a moderate establishment representative, won because he grasped millions of voters’ secret message: ‘make America again’. In autumn 2024, it will be harder to tell if the candidates can motivate a better-off society economically and two very open ideological spheres in both parties, with minorities and voters who may be tired of polarization, cultural superficiality, and inconsistent electoral demagoguery.

Campaign staff know no Democrat will vote for Trump and no Republican will trust Kamala Harris. However, they expect many voters from both parties to be unenthusiastic. The exit of the independent Kennedy and his backing for the Republicans helps explain the bewilderment of some segments uncommitted to the populist and vulgar conflict of the two blocs. If televised debates are traditionally used to win the undecided vote, they may also win the confidence of non-militant Republicans and Democrats, who are crucial if one ticket wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona.

In the next weeks, television confrontations will confirm the persuaded and convince the unverified in each social and ideological sector: youth, minority, politically disengaged middle classes. Format disagreements have begun due to this difficult method. To avoid scaring off unmotivated voters, Republicans desire a first debate with personal comments without interruptions, while Democrats want an open conversation to show an agile and strong woman who can assert herself on Trump.

The debate may be delayed or canceled, but the campaign will focus around this direct confrontation, which could assist Kamala Harris more than Donald Trump. Since Kennedy defeated Nixon in 1960 and Reagan won the White House in the 1980s, television has been the main campaign media in the US. Despite winning social media, Obama had to beat his adversaries on TV. It propelled Trump and rocked Biden. After regaining interest, he mounted a campaign that seemed unlikely before the summer. The debate winner wins the election. Even without a dispute, the media will convey the message. In 2024, only the medium’s name will survive.

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